Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.82% | -9.00% | -26.37% | -2.24% | -7.63% | 7.44% | -6.92% | 47.11% | -10.11% | -11.25% | ||
| 2025 | 6.56% | 6.15% | 7.25% | 13.51% | 22.62% | 19.42% | -3.25% | 32.77% | 14.56% | 18.78% | -12.09% | 0.00% |
| 2024 | -4.00% | -15.28% | 21.31% | -16.22% | 4.84% | -12.31% | 12.28% | -1.56% | 22.22% | 3.90% | -20.00% | -4.69% |
| 2023 | 1.79% | -7.02% | 0.94% | -1.87% | -9.52% | -9.47% | -9.30% | -6.41% | -15.07% | 16.13% | 13.89% | -8.54% |
| 2022 | 4.27% | 4.10% | 17.32% | -4.03% | -11.19% | -11.02% | -2.65% | -2.73% | -6.54% | 1.00% | 6.93% | 3.70% |
| 2021 | -5.18% | 0.84% | -11.25% | 4.23% | -1.80% | -19.72% | 3.43% | -20.99% | -13.29% | 6.45% | -3.79% | -7.87% |
| 2020 | -2.35% | -13.25% | 47.22% | 45.28% | 18.83% | 51.37% | -11.55% | 6.94% | -15.65% | -9.95% | 26.13% | |
| Avg | 1.54% | -3.22% | -0.58% | 5.80% | 6.08% | -0.98% | 6.42% | 5.23% | -0.18% | 5.10% | -4.17% | 1.46% |
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +6.4% with a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Nov shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Nov averages -4.2% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +11.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.3% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -28.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
STGO.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
STGO.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
STGO.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
STGO.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes