Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.32% | -12.90% | -11.33% | 17.45% | 5.48% | 13.85% | -5.20% | 4.55% | -1.49% | -0.20% | ||
| 2025 | 4.76% | -24.29% | -20.04% | 16.37% | 19.84% | 17.48% | -4.92% | -9.94% | -8.79% | -13.14% | -0.65% | -0.64% |
| 2024 | 21.05% | 17.32% | -9.79% | 34.85% | -4.22% | 15.42% | 17.98% | 4.93% | -5.64% | 27.30% | 6.92% | -4.52% |
| 2023 | -3.62% | 6.45% | -8.61% | -3.77% | 11.44% | 1.37% | 9.86% | 10.31% | -2.93% | -5.34% | 37.94% | 16.64% |
| 2022 | -20.32% | -19.48% | 6.24% | -10.54% | -1.54% | -20.75% | 31.70% | -12.25% | -3.45% | 16.43% | 20.91% | -23.59% |
| 2021 | 23.23% | 0.37% | ||||||||||
| Avg | -0.09% | -6.58% | -8.71% | 10.87% | 6.20% | 5.47% | 9.89% | -0.48% | -4.46% | 6.31% | 17.67% | -2.35% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +17.7% with a 80% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -8.7% with only a 20% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +22.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -15.4% historically, with January alone posting a 40% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is -13.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
PRL.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
PRL.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PRL.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
PRL.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years