Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.70% | 0.91% | -6.14% | 5.48% | -5.25% | -4.08% | 2.29% | 3.50% | ||||
| 2025 | 0.80% | 3.13% | -6.52% | -3.82% | 13.03% | 3.46% | 16.40% | 16.52% | 1.20% | -7.23% | 8.37% | -6.49% |
| 2024 | 3.64% | 11.67% | -2.82% | -10.35% | 3.79% | -5.67% | -7.46% | -6.87% | 24.71% | 0.15% | -1.44% | -8.71% |
| 2023 | 25.67% | 4.56% | 3.27% | 2.12% | -13.44% | 7.00% | 3.19% | -6.73% | -8.85% | -5.01% | -3.55% | 7.92% |
| 2022 | 0.48% | 1.25% | -7.84% | -11.61% | -6.21% | -13.80% | 11.41% | -4.55% | 4.03% | 1.38% | 30.92% | -1.42% |
| 2021 | -11.79% | 32.35% | -4.83% | 2.42% | 2.70% | -7.26% | -19.60% | 3.42% | -16.66% | 5.96% | -9.79% | 4.97% |
| 2020 | -13.69% | -44.26% | 42.10% | -2.63% | -10.55% | -2.77% | 20.74% | -17.88% | 0.86% | 38.75% | 12.27% | |
| Avg | 1.35% | 5.74% | -9.88% | 3.76% | -1.14% | -4.41% | 0.49% | 3.75% | -2.24% | -0.65% | 10.54% | 1.42% |
WYNN - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +10.5% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -9.9% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +11.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.8% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -18.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
WYNN - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WYNN Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WYNN Distribution of Daily % Changes