Seasonality
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VRTX - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.65% | 5.73% | -10.12% | -4.29% | 4.72% | 10.99% | -3.95% | 6.00% | ||||
| 2025 | 14.65% | 3.92% | 1.05% | 5.09% | -13.24% | 0.71% | 2.62% | -14.41% | 0.16% | 8.66% | 1.89% | 4.55% |
| 2024 | 6.51% | -2.92% | -0.65% | -6.03% | 15.92% | 2.94% | 5.76% | 0.03% | -6.21% | 2.34% | -1.65% | -13.98% |
| 2023 | 11.88% | -10.15% | 8.54% | 8.14% | -5.04% | 8.76% | 0.12% | -1.14% | -0.17% | 4.13% | -2.02% | 14.68% |
| 2022 | 10.68% | -5.36% | 13.46% | 4.69% | -1.67% | 4.89% | -0.49% | 0.48% | 2.76% | 7.76% | 1.41% | -8.73% |
| 2021 | -3.07% | -7.22% | 1.10% | 1.54% | -4.39% | -3.36% | -0.02% | -0.64% | -9.44% | 1.95% | 1.09% | 17.47% |
| 2020 | -1.33% | 6.21% | 5.57% | 14.63% | 0.82% | -6.31% | 2.62% | -2.51% | -23.43% | 9.31% | 3.77% | |
| Avg | 7.38% | -2.47% | 2.80% | 2.10% | 1.56% | 3.68% | -0.32% | -2.18% | -2.57% | 0.24% | 1.67% | 2.96% |
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +7.4% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -2.6% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +7.7% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.7% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +0.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
VRTX - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VRTX Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VRTX Distribution of Daily % Changes