Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.0% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -2.9% with only a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +7.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +17.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
VRSN - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VRSN - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.53% | -6.32% | 8.96% | 8.17% | 6.51% | -11.85% | 15.29% | -1.99% | ||||
| 2025 | 3.88% | 10.64% | 6.72% | 11.13% | -3.16% | 5.99% | -6.90% | 1.97% | 2.27% | -14.23% | 5.41% | -3.59% |
| 2024 | -3.44% | -1.81% | -2.96% | -10.57% | 2.86% | 2.00% | 5.18% | -1.66% | 3.30% | -6.91% | 5.85% | 10.57% |
| 2023 | 6.14% | -9.73% | 7.37% | 4.95% | 0.69% | 1.19% | -6.65% | -1.50% | -2.53% | -1.42% | 6.28% | -2.94% |
| 2022 | -14.44% | -1.59% | 4.09% | -19.68% | -2.32% | -4.14% | 13.05% | -3.67% | -4.68% | 15.41% | -0.32% | 2.82% |
| 2021 | -10.32% | -0.02% | 2.44% | 10.07% | 0.53% | 3.53% | -4.97% | -0.05% | -5.20% | 8.61% | 7.74% | 5.80% |
| 2020 | -8.84% | -5.09% | 16.33% | 4.54% | -5.56% | 2.34% | 1.47% | -4.63% | -6.91% | 5.25% | 7.81% | |
| Avg | -2.94% | -2.52% | 3.07% | 2.91% | 1.38% | -1.26% | 2.48% | -0.57% | -1.91% | -0.91% | 5.03% | 3.41% |
VRSN Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VRSN Distribution of Daily % Changes