Seasonality
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Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 3Y.
Jul averages +7.2% with a 100% win rate across 3 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -8.0% with only a 0% win rate across 3 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +10.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.4% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 3Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -11.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.80% | -1.57% | -9.11% | -0.25% | -6.77% | 8.00% | 6.19% | 3.73% | ||||
| 2025 | 1.51% | -3.51% | -2.20% | -1.59% | 5.35% | 0.03% | 3.84% | 1.30% | 0.50% | -7.44% | 2.57% | -1.30% |
| 2024 | -6.77% | 12.69% | 2.70% | 5.66% | 5.23% | -3.07% | 11.62% | 5.51% | -0.43% | -8.64% | 5.87% | -5.76% |
| 2023 | 11.96% | 6.60% | ||||||||||
| Avg | -2.02% | 2.54% | -2.87% | 1.27% | 1.27% | 1.66% | 7.22% | 3.40% | 0.04% | -8.04% | 6.80% | -0.15% |
VLTO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
3 years of data
VLTO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2023 to 2026
VLTO Distribution of Daily % Changes
VLTO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 3 years