Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.7% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.4% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +14.8% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -2.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.18% | 0.38% | -12.83% | 49.14% | 9.46% | -12.25% | -18.46% | 2.42% | ||||
| 2025 | 0.34% | 3.38% | -11.41% | -3.03% | 3.70% | 14.85% | -2.16% | 9.86% | -2.58% | -8.17% | -6.78% | 11.84% |
| 2024 | -8.32% | 18.60% | -0.36% | 3.40% | 6.21% | -0.75% | -2.20% | -2.58% | -5.96% | -2.30% | -2.19% | -8.97% |
| 2023 | 16.63% | -3.16% | 5.09% | -12.19% | 9.38% | 14.90% | 8.94% | -7.74% | -2.33% | -13.75% | 18.36% | 13.06% |
| 2022 | -9.81% | -7.46% | -2.19% | -7.66% | 11.04% | -21.60% | 24.22% | -10.50% | -9.88% | -0.97% | 20.37% | -9.69% |
| 2021 | 0.92% | 13.76% | 10.62% | -4.39% | 9.82% | -2.42% | 0.33% | 4.23% | -8.71% | 2.55% | 11.20% | 2.24% |
| 2020 | -10.38% | -26.76% | 20.07% | -3.48% | 19.10% | 3.06% | 7.00% | -0.46% | 8.26% | 17.24% | 0.61% | |
| Avg | 0.66% | 2.16% | -5.40% | 6.48% | 6.59% | 1.69% | 1.96% | 0.05% | -4.99% | -2.40% | 9.70% | 1.52% |
NXPI - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
NXPI Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
NXPI Distribution of Daily % Changes
NXPI - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years