Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +7.3% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -3.3% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +10.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -3.0% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -43.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.33% | 5.62% | -15.05% | 6.36% | 14.29% | 9.13% | 0.27% | -2.84% | ||||
| 2025 | -7.33% | 12.19% | 7.08% | 2.73% | 6.37% | -2.05% | -6.21% | 6.23% | 7.85% | -0.71% | 12.21% | 2.24% |
| 2024 | -4.50% | 7.42% | 0.30% | -9.83% | -2.86% | -3.79% | 3.00% | -8.40% | 10.69% | 0.98% | 4.65% | -4.66% |
| 2023 | 2.51% | -2.23% | 6.15% | 3.68% | 4.68% | -2.01% | 0.09% | -0.14% | -7.77% | -3.49% | 7.93% | 4.46% |
| 2022 | -9.70% | -2.68% | -5.33% | 7.23% | 4.01% | 4.02% | 7.46% | -10.83% | -2.11% | 7.77% | 9.75% | -1.29% |
| 2021 | -6.11% | 1.05% | 3.82% | 6.54% | -2.86% | -3.10% | 3.25% | 3.45% | -8.96% | -4.31% | -1.44% | 14.63% |
| 2020 | -6.29% | -9.85% | 9.86% | 16.34% | -3.60% | 13.21% | 6.86% | -4.36% | -4.53% | 10.72% | 9.08% | |
| Avg | -3.30% | 2.15% | -1.84% | 3.80% | 5.71% | -0.20% | 3.01% | -0.47% | -0.78% | -0.72% | 7.30% | 4.08% |
MNST - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
MNST - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
MNST Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
MNST Distribution of Daily % Changes