Seasonality
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Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +3.6% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -4.8% with only a 0% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +5.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.8% historically, with January alone posting a 0% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +9.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
KMB - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.89% | 11.45% | -12.36% | 2.03% | -0.84% | 14.01% | -0.42% | 0.99% | ||||
| 2025 | -0.82% | 9.26% | 1.04% | -7.34% | 9.09% | -9.48% | -3.34% | 3.63% | -2.77% | -3.72% | -8.85% | -6.42% |
| 2024 | -0.44% | 0.17% | 7.80% | 5.55% | -2.37% | 4.61% | -2.28% | 7.12% | -0.83% | -5.69% | 3.85% | -5.13% |
| 2023 | -4.23% | -3.82% | 8.37% | 7.95% | -7.32% | 3.72% | -6.49% | -0.21% | -5.31% | -1.00% | 3.42% | -0.84% |
| 2022 | -3.69% | -5.45% | -4.52% | 12.72% | -4.18% | 2.51% | -2.49% | -3.24% | -10.94% | 10.59% | 8.97% | 0.94% |
| 2021 | -2.02% | -2.85% | 9.31% | -4.12% | -2.02% | 3.31% | 1.45% | 1.54% | -3.12% | -2.23% | 0.63% | 10.60% |
| 2020 | -8.41% | -1.82% | 8.30% | 2.14% | 0.70% | 7.56% | 3.76% | -5.76% | -10.21% | 5.07% | -2.46% | |
| Avg | -2.02% | 0.05% | 1.12% | 3.58% | -0.79% | 2.77% | -0.86% | 2.10% | -4.79% | -2.04% | 2.18% | -0.55% |
KMB - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
KMB Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
KMB Distribution of Daily % Changes