Seasonality
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INCY - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
INCY - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
INCY Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
INCY Distribution of Daily % Changes
Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +4.5% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -5.3% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +9.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -4.1% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +26.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.32% | 1.20% | -7.06% | 1.22% | 1.54% | 17.18% | 5.43% | 0.54% | ||||
| 2025 | 7.37% | -0.89% | -17.62% | 3.48% | 3.83% | 4.67% | 9.97% | 12.98% | 0.24% | 10.22% | 11.75% | -5.45% |
| 2024 | -6.40% | -0.70% | -2.38% | -8.64% | 11.03% | 4.90% | 7.34% | 0.91% | 0.67% | 12.13% | 0.63% | -7.40% |
| 2023 | 6.00% | -9.58% | -6.12% | 2.96% | -17.28% | 1.14% | 2.36% | 1.27% | -10.48% | -6.65% | 0.76% | 15.55% |
| 2022 | 1.27% | -8.11% | 16.28% | -5.62% | 1.24% | 0.11% | 2.25% | -9.33% | -5.38% | 11.55% | 7.17% | 0.82% |
| 2021 | 3.18% | -12.36% | 3.32% | 5.06% | -1.87% | 0.42% | -8.06% | -1.11% | -10.08% | -2.62% | 1.10% | 8.39% |
| 2020 | 3.20% | -2.89% | 33.36% | 4.35% | 2.02% | -5.01% | -2.44% | -6.86% | -3.45% | -2.42% | 2.89% | |
| Avg | 2.12% | -3.89% | -2.35% | 4.55% | 0.41% | 4.35% | 2.04% | 0.38% | -5.32% | 3.53% | 3.17% | 2.47% |