Seasonality
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Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +5.3% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -2.1% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +8.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.9% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +0.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.87% | 5.14% | -4.08% | 3.55% | -6.52% | 10.47% | -9.68% | 8.22% | ||||
| 2025 | 0.98% | -11.84% | -10.95% | 9.75% | 7.63% | 4.83% | 7.12% | -1.19% | -0.16% | 9.22% | -7.90% | 2.94% |
| 2024 | 2.02% | 13.82% | 9.03% | -10.73% | 5.29% | -6.02% | 8.25% | 1.39% | 7.11% | -0.31% | 8.05% | -8.95% |
| 2023 | -2.46% | 10.37% | -3.27% | 10.69% | 5.28% | 17.38% | -5.90% | 4.86% | -3.88% | -13.82% | 11.53% | 9.64% |
| 2022 | -10.07% | -4.26% | 3.10% | 6.31% | -2.27% | -5.94% | 22.65% | -5.34% | 8.10% | 6.49% | 7.46% | -7.63% |
| 2021 | -0.76% | 14.71% | 5.28% | 2.74% | -0.20% | -1.99% | 7.29% | 3.30% | -12.34% | 10.35% | -1.33% | 6.42% |
| 2020 | -6.35% | -13.88% | 8.45% | -0.90% | 2.40% | 7.67% | 8.04% | -5.58% | 6.34% | 11.72% | -2.97% | |
| Avg | -0.07% | 3.09% | -2.11% | 4.39% | 1.19% | 3.02% | 5.34% | 1.84% | -1.12% | 3.05% | 4.92% | -0.09% |
HUBB - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
HUBB - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
HUBB Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
HUBB Distribution of Daily % Changes