Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +7.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -4.5% with only a 0% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +13.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -3.9% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +14.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.62% | 7.59% | -7.21% | -5.18% | 11.59% | -10.25% | 8.55% | -3.45% | ||||
| 2025 | -0.96% | -4.33% | -0.54% | -0.59% | 8.23% | 2.74% | -4.52% | -0.77% | -4.10% | 1.48% | -3.97% | 1.51% |
| 2024 | -3.55% | -1.21% | 3.28% | -6.10% | 5.46% | 5.61% | -4.12% | 2.10% | -0.58% | -0.50% | 13.81% | -3.02% |
| 2023 | -2.72% | -7.67% | -0.19% | 4.56% | -3.62% | 8.30% | -6.44% | -2.66% | -1.70% | -0.80% | 7.54% | 7.04% |
| 2022 | -1.93% | -6.69% | 2.55% | -0.55% | 0.57% | -10.23% | 10.73% | -1.12% | -11.82% | 22.19% | 8.14% | -2.39% |
| 2021 | -8.15% | 4.03% | 7.27% | 2.75% | 3.97% | -5.01% | 6.58% | -0.41% | -8.46% | 2.99% | -7.09% | 3.10% |
| 2020 | -5.87% | -17.50% | 6.06% | 3.54% | -0.86% | 3.31% | 11.46% | -0.57% | 0.21% | 24.20% | 4.31% | |
| Avg | -0.11% | -2.02% | -1.76% | 0.14% | 4.25% | -1.39% | 2.01% | 1.43% | -4.54% | 4.26% | 7.10% | 1.76% |
HON - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
HON - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
HON Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
HON Distribution of Daily % Changes