Seasonality
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May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +14.6% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -3.1% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +19.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +9.2% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +87.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.33% | -2.74% | 3.40% | 3.17% | 63.65% | 11.34% | 5.42% | -1.20% | ||||
| 2025 | 6.77% | 7.07% | -10.88% | 7.79% | -1.91% | 3.87% | -5.51% | -21.15% | 6.74% | 2.79% | -6.13% | -2.12% |
| 2024 | 10.18% | 7.16% | -1.16% | -7.51% | -6.11% | 1.60% | -3.70% | 32.17% | 1.09% | 1.43% | 20.84% | -0.60% |
| 2023 | 7.06% | 13.57% | 11.81% | -5.13% | 8.37% | 10.62% | 2.82% | -22.53% | -2.54% | -2.57% | -8.06% | 11.36% |
| 2022 | -17.30% | 15.91% | -0.81% | -15.43% | 1.77% | -3.82% | 5.43% | -18.37% | 0.90% | 16.34% | -7.00% | -8.03% |
| 2021 | -2.54% | 16.65% | 9.22% | 10.74% | 7.01% | 8.99% | 14.30% | 15.76% | -7.33% | 15.17% | -1.26% | 8.22% |
| 2020 | -11.53% | -0.87% | 6.49% | 29.20% | -1.39% | 0.75% | -4.55% | -10.76% | -6.32% | 11.65% | 20.53% | |
| Avg | 1.08% | 6.58% | 1.53% | 0.02% | 14.57% | 4.46% | 2.79% | -3.11% | -1.98% | 4.48% | 1.67% | 4.89% |
FTNT - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
FTNT - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
FTNT Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
FTNT Distribution of Daily % Changes