Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.90% | -13.42% | 5.44% | 11.98% | 87.12% | 5.26% | 2.92% | -4.67% | ||||
| 2025 | -0.13% | -18.33% | -14.88% | 2.97% | 15.39% | 13.95% | 4.21% | -2.36% | 4.18% | 14.33% | -1.72% | -15.01% |
| 2024 | 2.52% | 5.64% | -5.98% | 1.54% | -12.21% | 17.71% | -10.22% | -0.15% | -1.03% | 9.02% | 21.77% | -6.46% |
| 2023 | 1.78% | 2.29% | -5.04% | -7.27% | 40.86% | 3.66% | 18.64% | -17.34% | -5.59% | -10.56% | 43.08% | 4.13% |
| 2022 | -17.97% | 10.27% | -5.98% | -20.26% | -21.02% | -0.16% | 7.11% | 2.88% | -15.41% | -9.32% | -5.88% | -3.01% |
| 2021 | 4.38% | -7.14% | -12.65% | 2.92% | 6.16% | 14.31% | 6.36% | 24.48% | 2.58% | 18.18% | 6.73% | -0.10% |
| 2020 | -2.29% | -20.31% | 25.40% | 57.96% | 22.00% | 7.95% | -10.98% | 22.27% | -11.17% | 9.00% | -0.49% | |
| Avg | -2.39% | -3.29% | -8.49% | 2.47% | 24.89% | 10.96% | 5.28% | -0.58% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 12.17% | -3.49% |
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +24.9% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -8.5% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +38.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -14.2% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +95.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
DDOG - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
DDOG - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
DDOG Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
DDOG Distribution of Daily % Changes