Seasonality
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Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +10.6% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.2% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +12.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -6.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -22.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
CTSH - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.13% | -21.08% | -4.78% | -13.77% | 6.15% | -30.54% | 42.91% | 6.21% | ||||
| 2025 | 7.43% | 1.22% | -8.20% | -3.83% | 10.51% | -3.65% | -8.04% | 1.13% | -7.17% | 8.66% | 7.09% | 6.81% |
| 2024 | 2.11% | 2.86% | -7.25% | -10.38% | 1.15% | 2.80% | 11.29% | 3.17% | -0.76% | -3.36% | 8.33% | -4.46% |
| 2023 | 16.72% | -5.77% | -2.71% | -2.00% | 5.14% | 4.46% | 1.15% | 8.91% | -5.40% | -4.83% | 9.62% | 7.32% |
| 2022 | -3.72% | 1.14% | 4.11% | -9.78% | -7.31% | -9.65% | 0.70% | -6.68% | -9.07% | 8.37% | 0.39% | -8.07% |
| 2021 | -4.88% | -5.44% | 6.31% | 2.92% | -10.69% | -3.21% | 6.17% | 4.11% | -2.75% | 5.23% | 0.16% | 13.77% |
| 2020 | -0.42% | -23.73% | 24.85% | -8.27% | 7.21% | 20.24% | -1.81% | 3.83% | 2.88% | 9.71% | 4.89% | |
| Avg | 2.75% | -3.93% | -5.18% | -1.71% | -0.48% | -4.66% | 10.63% | 1.47% | -3.55% | 2.83% | 5.88% | 3.38% |
CTSH - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CTSH Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CTSH Distribution of Daily % Changes