Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Feb averages +6.8% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Apr shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Apr averages -2.4% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +11.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.0% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 181 of the year, the current YTD return is +13.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
ABBV - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ABBV - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ABBV Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.61% | 4.07% | -6.29% | -2.03% | 3.03% | 15.58% | 0.43% | 2.18% | 3.38% | |||
| 2025 | 4.46% | 13.66% | 0.23% | -6.02% | -4.61% | -0.26% | 2.71% | 11.31% | 10.05% | -5.15% | 4.43% | 0.35% |
| 2024 | 7.10% | 7.09% | 3.44% | -9.85% | -0.86% | 6.38% | 9.04% | 5.93% | 0.60% | 4.06% | -10.27% | -2.86% |
| 2023 | -7.71% | 4.16% | 3.55% | -4.30% | -8.71% | -2.34% | 12.25% | -1.75% | 1.43% | -4.34% | 0.86% | 8.83% |
| 2022 | 2.15% | 7.95% | 9.70% | -8.62% | 0.33% | 3.93% | -5.42% | -6.31% | -0.19% | 10.19% | 10.10% | 0.27% |
| 2021 | -3.24% | 5.13% | 0.45% | 4.28% | 1.52% | -0.49% | 4.40% | 3.85% | -10.69% | 7.59% | 0.53% | 17.45% |
| 2020 | 5.79% | -11.11% | 9.50% | 12.74% | 5.95% | -2.15% | 0.91% | -8.54% | -1.52% | 22.89% | 2.46% | |
| Avg | 0.19% | 6.84% | -0.00% | -2.44% | 0.49% | 4.10% | 3.04% | 2.30% | -1.22% | 1.81% | 4.76% | 4.42% |
ABBV Distribution of Daily % Changes