Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
LMN.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
3 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -17.35% | -5.35% | 4.38% | -8.75% | 6.03% | 0.28% | 12.74% | 1.57% | -17.14% | 29.85% | ||
| 2025 | -6.30% | -4.33% | 9.82% | 10.05% | 4.24% | 2.95% | 12.38% | -9.99% | -15.17% | -18.37% | -6.57% | -13.29% |
| 2024 | 4.88% | 19.90% | -4.76% | 5.31% | 1.56% | -3.58% | 0.05% | -12.04% | -2.77% | 2.59% | 31.09% | -3.20% |
| 2023 | 24.07% | 9.59% | -9.15% | 15.19% | 9.99% | -12.60% | -13.32% | 33.60% | 28.33% | |||
| Avg | -6.26% | 3.41% | 3.15% | 7.67% | 5.36% | -2.37% | 10.09% | -2.62% | -11.92% | -9.70% | 19.38% | 3.95% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 3Y.
Nov averages +19.4% with a 67% win rate across 3 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -11.9% with only a 0% win rate across 3 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +13.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.3% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 3Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -26.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
LMN.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 4 years
LMN.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2023 to 2026
LMN.V Distribution of Daily % Changes