Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +11.3% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -3.3% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +18.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.8% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is +97.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
FISH.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28.83% | -6.06% | -8.93% | -4.09% | 22.73% | 13.89% | -0.41% | 9.59% | 49.53% | -14.69% | ||
| 2025 | 1.43% | 14.79% | 5.10% | 17.65% | 10.00% | 7.87% | 0.00% | 5.93% | 21.20% | -9.90% | 10.62% | 10.26% |
| 2024 | -11.02% | -5.71% | 18.54% | 13.79% | -7.58% | 5.99% | -3.91% | -0.81% | 12.58% | 19.12% | -13.58% | 0.97% |
| 2023 | -2.73% | -9.35% | 13.74% | -6.42% | -5.88% | -13.24% | 23.17% | 35.64% | -20.19% | 24.07% | 8.21% | -17.71% |
| 2022 | 1.31% | -5.16% | 0.68% | -4.55% | -8.57% | -2.93% | -4.07% | 2.54% | -22.68% | -26.09% | 1.47% | 61.20% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | -8.62% | 8.49% | 15.65% | 2.26% | -2.21% | -9.02% | 3.31% | 1.78% | 15.08% | 0.00% | 6.43% |
| 2020 | -3.33% | -8.05% | 12.50% | 4.44% | 17.02% | 40.91% | -9.68% | -2.86% | -12.50% | -8.40% | 6.42% | |
| Avg | 2.97% | -3.35% | 4.22% | 6.36% | 2.49% | 3.77% | 6.67% | 6.65% | 5.62% | 1.63% | -0.28% | 11.26% |
FISH.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
FISH.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
FISH.V Distribution of Daily % Changes