Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +5.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -3.1% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +6.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -3.2% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -36.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
AVTS.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
AVTS.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
AVTS.V Distribution of Daily % Changes
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.00% | -4.80% | 0.04% | -1.60% | 2.48% | -4.17% | -2.17% | -13.51% | 3.29% | -8.61% | ||
| 2025 | -3.06% | 8.15% | -3.11% | -1.49% | 3.77% | -4.50% | -2.80% | -7.26% | 3.61% | -12.63% | -10.36% | 13.33% |
| 2024 | -3.99% | -0.28% | 2.78% | 1.35% | 9.33% | -1.22% | 0.00% | -2.96% | 1.27% | 24.37% | 0.00% | 4.44% |
| 2023 | 10.27% | 1.38% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 12.54% | 8.43% | -1.39% | -1.97% | 1.72% | 2.54% | 6.34% | -2.59% |
| 2022 | -5.60% | -4.66% | 4.89% | 7.20% | 1.98% | -6.20% | -0.83% | 10.00% | -1.14% | -3.07% | -0.79% | 4.78% |
| 2021 | 4.02% | 4.25% | -0.74% | 1.87% | 0.00% | -2.20% | -4.87% | 0.79% | 5.47% | -1.85% | -2.64% | -3.10% |
| 2020 | -4.08% | -25.96% | -6.32% | 4.91% | 21.05% | -5.31% | 7.14% | 8.57% | 2.63% | -1.28% | 13.61% | |
| Avg | -0.06% | -0.01% | -3.11% | 0.14% | 5.00% | 1.60% | -2.48% | -1.11% | 3.26% | 2.00% | -1.46% | 5.08% |
AVTS.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data