Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +41.0% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Apr shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Apr averages -7.7% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +52.7% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +18.5% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +69.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42.86% | 22.50% | -18.37% | 23.75% | 27.27% | -7.94% | -11.21% | 24.27% | -10.16% | -18.26% | ||
| 2025 | -9.38% | 13.79% | -9.09% | -6.67% | -7.14% | 42.31% | 67.57% | -14.52% | 26.42% | 34.33% | 15.56% | 7.69% |
| 2024 | -5.88% | 59.38% | 1.96% | -3.85% | 38.00% | -18.84% | -10.71% | -10.00% | -2.22% | 4.55% | -17.39% | -15.79% |
| 2023 | 23.33% | -21.62% | -10.34% | 0.00% | -3.85% | -44.00% | -57.14% | -33.33% | -10.00% | -44.44% | 100.00% | 240.00% |
| 2022 | -16.67% | 1.82% | 26.79% | -18.31% | -27.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -2.38% | -14.63% | -17.14% | -3.45% | 7.14% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | 52.17% | -30.00% | -10.20% | 13.64% | 10.00% | -25.45% | -8.54% | -1.33% | 10.81% | -12.20% | -8.33% |
| 2020 | -5.56% | 5.88% | -38.89% | 218.18% | 14.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.00% | |
| Avg | 5.71% | 17.50% | -4.74% | -7.74% | 36.93% | -0.60% | -5.28% | -6.36% | -1.70% | -1.98% | 13.75% | 40.95% |
ANDC.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ANDC.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ANDC.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ANDC.V Distribution of Daily % Changes