Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.2% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -4.0% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +9.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -4.6% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +22.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.75% | 10.87% | -0.55% | -2.89% | 3.39% | 1.99% | 8.85% | -0.12% | 1.10% | -2.64% | ||
| 2025 | -6.13% | -10.50% | -5.64% | -2.56% | 18.25% | 4.38% | -2.60% | 1.04% | -0.23% | -2.39% | 2.60% | 3.99% |
| 2024 | -2.41% | -4.55% | 2.54% | -4.72% | 13.86% | 0.09% | 0.25% | 3.14% | -1.53% | 5.01% | -1.31% | -8.03% |
| 2023 | -0.91% | 0.26% | 1.42% | -3.79% | 7.34% | 2.38% | 10.65% | -10.65% | -4.53% | -3.77% | 7.69% | 3.73% |
| 2022 | -4.66% | -4.68% | 3.53% | -10.22% | -1.74% | -4.36% | 9.39% | 0.00% | -10.78% | -10.00% | 18.61% | -5.03% |
| 2021 | 5.09% | 12.58% | -1.77% | 0.94% | 1.77% | -3.70% | -1.34% | -1.07% | -1.58% | -1.51% | -6.76% | 14.52% |
| 2020 | 0.27% | -27.36% | 21.19% | -6.60% | 11.60% | -5.07% | 10.85% | -5.35% | 7.90% | 16.34% | 12.89% | |
| Avg | -1.21% | 0.61% | -3.98% | -0.29% | 5.18% | 1.77% | 2.88% | 0.46% | -3.27% | -0.79% | 6.20% | 3.68% |
XTC.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
XTC.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
XTC.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
XTC.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes