Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Mar is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Mar averages +6.5% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -1.2% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +7.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.3% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -2.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.30% | 5.42% | -1.53% | -0.25% | -1.48% | 5.73% | 2.92% | -7.19% | 4.41% | 4.64% | ||
| 2025 | 0.50% | 3.01% | 6.39% | 9.49% | 2.87% | -0.82% | -3.60% | 0.77% | -3.68% | 0.46% | 12.37% | -0.88% |
| 2024 | 4.13% | 3.77% | 3.36% | -1.01% | 6.88% | 2.06% | 8.65% | 2.51% | 3.94% | -2.71% | 1.90% | -0.33% |
| 2023 | 1.89% | -0.13% | 5.19% | 1.57% | -12.23% | -1.46% | -3.05% | -1.32% | 0.99% | -0.14% | 5.80% | 3.81% |
| 2022 | -5.48% | -0.85% | 12.44% | 3.81% | -2.87% | -2.70% | 1.64% | -1.76% | -3.26% | 3.68% | 12.34% | 0.10% |
| 2021 | -2.65% | 0.98% | 19.70% | -2.47% | 8.49% | 0.81% | 9.50% | 5.12% | 0.90% | -2.12% | 0.82% | 9.25% |
| 2020 | -5.25% | 0.12% | -1.88% | 0.73% | 0.54% | 1.73% | -6.86% | 4.48% | -4.58% | 2.87% | -0.52% | |
| Avg | -0.22% | 0.99% | 6.52% | 1.32% | 0.34% | 0.60% | 2.54% | -1.25% | 1.11% | -0.90% | 6.02% | 1.90% |
WN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes