Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.2% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -6.4% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +18.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +1.6% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +69.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.52% | 10.16% | 15.72% | 2.49% | -0.81% | -6.63% | 12.71% | 8.96% | -1.73% | 16.15% | ||
| 2025 | -5.59% | 3.35% | -5.18% | -14.91% | 10.23% | 7.61% | 14.97% | -0.57% | 3.27% | -1.12% | 12.56% | -1.11% |
| 2024 | -1.23% | 8.98% | 9.47% | 2.43% | 2.80% | -5.62% | 6.92% | -3.01% | -0.95% | 3.47% | -0.95% | 0.31% |
| 2023 | 3.70% | -5.25% | 0.36% | 2.67% | -12.58% | 0.32% | 14.12% | 5.40% | 4.22% | -6.09% | -11.84% | -4.80% |
| 2022 | 20.07% | 8.07% | 7.23% | 2.13% | 7.13% | -20.29% | 9.94% | -1.89% | -8.27% | 21.25% | 1.97% | 0.45% |
| 2021 | -5.48% | 24.53% | -2.72% | -2.27% | 13.88% | 1.08% | -7.04% | -4.97% | 29.88% | 6.31% | -8.17% | 10.49% |
| 2020 | -17.69% | -69.37% | 58.00% | 11.65% | 10.57% | -0.30% | 16.95% | -5.31% | 1.01% | 61.88% | 24.34% | |
| Avg | 3.33% | 4.59% | -6.35% | 7.22% | 4.61% | -1.85% | 7.33% | 2.98% | 3.02% | 4.14% | 9.24% | 4.95% |
WCP.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WCP.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WCP.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WCP.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes