Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.1% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -2.3% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +3.2% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.2% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -0.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.37% | 3.26% | -3.71% | -1.00% | -7.85% | 14.90% | -0.66% | -2.19% | -4.42% | 19.18% | ||
| 2025 | 8.29% | 2.91% | 2.23% | -2.93% | -0.58% | -5.88% | 1.71% | -1.74% | -3.60% | -3.86% | 5.70% | -2.98% |
| 2024 | 5.48% | 8.38% | 3.12% | -4.15% | 0.45% | 7.24% | 2.30% | 2.51% | -3.81% | 1.81% | 10.47% | -9.14% |
| 2023 | -1.63% | 3.68% | 2.94% | 0.19% | -1.38% | 2.05% | -1.64% | -0.35% | -1.55% | -1.54% | 2.58% | 7.66% |
| 2022 | -8.08% | -1.24% | 11.92% | 1.37% | -8.77% | -1.12% | 6.94% | 7.31% | 2.07% | -3.66% | 8.17% | -7.55% |
| 2021 | -3.48% | -1.36% | 9.48% | 7.84% | -0.86% | 2.19% | 6.72% | 3.32% | -2.08% | 5.49% | 1.21% | 1.33% |
| 2020 | 1.51% | -15.51% | 9.67% | 8.44% | -1.84% | 7.83% | -4.72% | 6.10% | -4.58% | 2.43% | -3.33% | |
| Avg | -0.80% | 2.45% | 1.50% | 1.57% | -1.51% | 2.51% | 3.31% | 0.59% | -1.04% | -1.06% | 5.09% | -2.34% |
WCN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WCN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WCN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WCN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes