Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
TECK-B.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Sep is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Sep averages +10.6% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -3.9% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +13.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +2.4% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +22.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.22% | 9.62% | -9.84% | 9.99% | 15.30% | -7.48% | -0.13% | 12.03% | -0.72% | -11.76% | ||
| 2025 | 1.87% | -1.94% | -9.77% | -10.63% | 8.56% | 8.54% | -18.41% | 4.52% | 30.29% | -1.44% | -1.13% | 10.69% |
| 2024 | -3.93% | -3.08% | 19.13% | 9.18% | 4.73% | -7.34% | 3.23% | -4.65% | 10.57% | -8.30% | 0.91% | -10.67% |
| 2023 | 12.49% | -5.37% | -8.24% | 27.88% | -16.04% | 5.42% | 5.10% | -4.61% | 4.85% | -16.18% | 4.33% | 9.83% |
| 2022 | 7.77% | 16.25% | 11.92% | 0.40% | 3.47% | -24.76% | -4.34% | 18.14% | -5.29% | -1.29% | 20.23% | 2.88% |
| 2021 | 1.13% | 13.44% | -9.01% | 8.06% | 12.88% | -2.59% | -0.25% | -0.11% | 11.00% | 9.55% | -1.91% | 7.68% |
| 2020 | -21.05% | -20.61% | 15.00% | 6.60% | 9.12% | -4.57% | 10.83% | 23.63% | -5.56% | 17.19% | 12.82% | |
| Avg | 5.09% | 1.12% | -3.77% | 8.55% | 5.07% | -2.73% | -2.77% | 5.17% | 10.62% | -3.87% | 6.60% | 5.54% |
TECK-B.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
TECK-B.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
TECK-B.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes