Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.06% | -2.76% | -1.57% | 2.05% | -11.30% | 4.23% | 1.74% | 4.73% | -8.04% | -2.16% | ||
| 2025 | 9.85% | 12.06% | 4.03% | -1.66% | 4.48% | 5.28% | -8.00% | 7.07% | 2.21% | -3.96% | 3.82% | 15.47% |
| 2024 | 5.04% | 5.60% | 6.36% | -4.94% | 1.22% | -2.58% | -6.69% | 1.36% | -7.17% | 11.31% | 6.55% | -5.06% |
| 2023 | -10.58% | -0.61% | -0.41% | 5.78% | -1.23% | -8.35% | -4.67% | 1.55% | 16.82% | 10.20% | 9.19% | 0.17% |
| 2022 | 0.00% | -0.80% | 5.00% | -3.11% | 4.53% | 0.15% | -4.80% | 5.29% | -5.31% | 0.49% | -3.52% | -5.52% |
| 2021 | -3.59% | -3.40% | -2.30% | 5.91% | 13.65% | -4.96% | -6.45% | 7.92% | -0.15% | -5.24% | 0.61% | 2.12% |
| 2020 | -11.39% | -18.84% | -12.41% | -3.72% | -5.26% | 18.33% | 2.89% | 0.00% | 2.31% | -1.13% | -1.54% | |
| Avg | 0.63% | -0.19% | -1.10% | -1.19% | 1.09% | -1.64% | -1.51% | 4.40% | -0.23% | 2.52% | 2.59% | 0.94% |
Aug is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Aug averages +4.4% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -1.6% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.0% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.7% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -16.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
SFC.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SFC.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SFC.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
SFC.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data