Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +6.2% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.5% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.0% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.7% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -6.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.33% | 6.93% | -6.20% | -2.36% | 0.15% | 2.46% | -12.62% | 0.31% | 1.69% | 5.00% | ||
| 2025 | 5.61% | -10.78% | -8.35% | -2.46% | 6.04% | 5.81% | -4.84% | 5.48% | -6.51% | 12.92% | 2.16% | 0.71% |
| 2024 | -9.19% | 0.51% | -2.38% | -8.45% | -2.08% | 8.28% | -0.62% | -3.53% | 1.93% | -8.14% | 11.97% | -4.97% |
| 2023 | 9.28% | 4.44% | -9.30% | 9.54% | 4.42% | -1.50% | 5.42% | -1.61% | -8.15% | 4.65% | 3.66% | 11.58% |
| 2022 | 14.55% | -2.73% | -6.08% | -19.65% | 2.55% | -9.95% | 15.47% | -9.39% | 9.17% | -4.24% | 6.67% | -7.18% |
| 2021 | 13.41% | -2.03% | 12.90% | 4.15% | 0.84% | -7.34% | 8.63% | 4.57% | -8.44% | 5.04% | -3.11% | 3.07% |
| 2020 | -5.74% | -19.08% | 18.94% | 7.38% | 1.73% | 15.19% | 4.85% | 1.01% | 2.06% | 5.58% | -12.64% | |
| Avg | 6.16% | -1.34% | -5.50% | -0.04% | 2.76% | -0.07% | 3.81% | 0.10% | -1.33% | 2.05% | 4.49% | -1.57% |
RCH.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
RCH.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
RCH.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
RCH.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes