Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.12% | 4.36% | -24.46% | -0.56% | -11.70% | -1.45% | 6.80% | -4.43% | -3.65% | 10.59% | ||
| 2025 | 1.03% | -7.73% | 13.10% | 8.00% | 8.26% | 7.07% | 1.51% | 16.68% | -7.72% | -3.31% | -17.70% | -2.21% |
| 2024 | 8.34% | -4.11% | 6.26% | -2.40% | -12.65% | -2.12% | 3.72% | -10.25% | 6.03% | -1.47% | 7.94% | -7.82% |
| 2023 | 1.69% | 7.49% | -11.75% | -3.61% | -14.56% | -1.62% | 0.33% | -17.55% | -2.63% | 1.84% | 7.60% | 8.07% |
| 2022 | -14.47% | -0.16% | 8.84% | -6.01% | 4.81% | -6.08% | 3.33% | 5.26% | 3.58% | 5.58% | 7.44% | -0.58% |
| 2021 | 0.97% | 28.15% | -15.46% | -0.62% | 15.48% | 7.48% | ||||||
| Avg | -1.11% | -0.03% | -1.60% | -0.92% | -5.17% | -0.84% | 2.78% | 2.98% | -3.31% | 0.41% | 4.15% | 0.99% |
PET.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.2% with a 80% win rate across 5 years of history.
May shows persistent seasonal weakness.
May averages -5.2% with only a 40% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.7% historically, with January alone posting a 60% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -28.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
PET.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
PET.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PET.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes