Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +11.2% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -3.2% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +16.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +16.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +26.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41.24% | 10.00% | -14.18% | -13.98% | 24.14% | -10.32% | -5.31% | 25.70% | 17.84% | -14.83% | ||
| 2025 | 14.06% | 12.33% | 19.51% | 13.27% | 14.41% | -10.24% | -5.26% | 5.56% | 26.32% | -2.78% | 15.00% | 9.94% |
| 2024 | -7.06% | -12.66% | 23.19% | -3.53% | -12.20% | -8.33% | 16.67% | -2.60% | 4.00% | -2.56% | -6.58% | -9.86% |
| 2023 | 11.11% | -9.29% | 6.30% | 11.85% | -15.89% | -0.79% | -5.56% | -21.01% | -7.45% | -1.15% | 4.07% | -5.03% |
| 2022 | -1.67% | 16.10% | 18.25% | -12.35% | -4.23% | -5.88% | 11.72% | -4.90% | 1.47% | -15.94% | 9.48% | -0.79% |
| 2021 | -11.82% | 3.09% | -6.00% | 1.06% | 29.47% | 5.69% | 12.31% | -15.75% | -10.57% | 9.09% | 8.33% | -7.69% |
| 2020 | -12.63% | 4.82% | 28.74% | 42.86% | 7.50% | 34.88% | -8.62% | -16.98% | -1.14% | 6.90% | 18.28% | |
| Avg | 7.65% | 0.99% | 7.41% | 3.58% | 11.22% | -3.20% | 8.49% | -3.09% | 2.09% | -2.41% | 6.20% | 0.81% |
ORE.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ORE.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ORE.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ORE.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes