Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
NTR.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Feb averages +5.8% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -4.0% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +10.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +10.8% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +7.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.66% | 9.43% | 3.10% | -1.68% | -8.56% | -4.50% | 8.29% | 8.04% | -3.66% | -2.31% | ||
| 2025 | 16.62% | 1.08% | -4.77% | 10.19% | 3.02% | -1.21% | 3.60% | -3.72% | 4.23% | -6.53% | 6.43% | 5.12% |
| 2024 | -10.19% | 5.67% | 4.95% | -1.36% | 10.03% | -11.88% | 1.67% | -7.82% | 0.69% | 2.15% | -1.49% | -0.44% |
| 2023 | 11.42% | -3.47% | -5.43% | -5.83% | -23.91% | 10.34% | 16.19% | -5.81% | -1.16% | -11.21% | -2.55% | 3.81% |
| 2022 | -6.63% | 22.79% | 19.10% | -2.31% | -2.08% | -16.60% | 6.94% | 9.99% | -3.91% | -0.08% | -6.08% | -7.96% |
| 2021 | 2.84% | 9.07% | -0.61% | 0.22% | 9.59% | 1.80% | -1.24% | 3.40% | 7.93% | 5.22% | -2.10% | 12.96% |
| 2020 | -3.97% | -10.02% | 3.33% | -5.45% | -5.91% | 0.00% | 10.75% | 9.31% | 3.73% | 18.35% | -3.54% | |
| Avg | 4.12% | 5.80% | 0.90% | 0.37% | -2.48% | -3.99% | 5.06% | 2.12% | 1.92% | -1.12% | 2.09% | 1.66% |
NTR.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
NTR.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
NTR.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes