Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +11.5% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -1.9% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +14.7% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +6.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -3.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.65% | 28.64% | -28.19% | 5.72% | 3.29% | -13.65% | 1.21% | 30.05% | -3.52% | -12.63% | ||
| 2025 | 11.18% | -0.52% | 29.27% | 2.18% | 12.38% | 7.79% | -6.32% | 7.64% | 8.59% | 10.88% | 13.08% | 7.59% |
| 2024 | -1.08% | -12.89% | 12.30% | 16.19% | 4.10% | 3.02% | 0.64% | -6.58% | 6.64% | 17.66% | -1.51% | -4.82% |
| 2023 | 0.39% | -3.38% | 3.23% | -16.15% | -6.68% | -4.33% | 8.35% | 2.57% | -9.70% | -13.34% | 18.80% | 9.60% |
| 2022 | -11.54% | 21.23% | 18.55% | 0.11% | -4.26% | -11.30% | 2.83% | -15.27% | 16.69% | -21.65% | 24.88% | -0.78% |
| 2021 | 12.75% | -25.87% | -0.16% | 26.30% | 4.36% | 7.05% | 0.45% | -17.89% | -17.59% | 18.55% | 2.49% | -2.84% |
| 2020 | -13.25% | -11.38% | 9.12% | 26.93% | -1.71% | 50.62% | 27.84% | -10.57% | 1.58% | 11.06% | -2.81% | |
| Avg | 4.06% | -0.86% | 3.37% | 6.21% | 5.73% | -1.88% | 8.25% | 4.05% | -1.35% | 2.28% | 11.47% | 0.99% |
KNT.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
KNT.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
KNT.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
KNT.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes