Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
ISO.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
2 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26.90% | 1.51% | -8.39% | 10.45% | -1.29% | -12.01% | -7.85% | 19.03% | -18.38% | -12.40% | ||
| 2025 | 9.27% | -20.49% | 6.89% | -13.10% | 21.53% | -4.53% | -9.59% | 26.00% | 26.88% | 2.28% | -16.11% | 3.82% |
| 2024 | -7.22% | -15.28% | 13.77% | -3.75% | 3.29% | -24.93% | ||||||
| Avg | 18.08% | -9.49% | -0.75% | -1.32% | 10.12% | -8.27% | -8.22% | 9.92% | 7.42% | -0.73% | -6.41% | -10.55% |
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 2Y.
Jan averages +18.1% with a 100% win rate across 2 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -10.6% with only a 50% win rate across 2 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +9.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.8% historically, with January alone posting a 100% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 2Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -4.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
ISO.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 2 years
ISO.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2024 to 2026
ISO.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes