Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -13.40% | 4.48% | 0.96% | -0.83% | -8.72% | 8.72% | 0.64% | -3.74% | -1.80% | 11.22% | ||
| 2025 | -1.12% | 6.33% | -0.01% | 3.48% | 8.49% | 5.26% | -0.29% | -3.53% | 2.98% | -6.48% | 5.68% | 8.71% |
| 2024 | 16.50% | 3.36% | 0.79% | 2.51% | 2.51% | 1.44% | 4.62% | -0.08% | 4.96% | 1.32% | 14.80% | 0.69% |
| 2023 | 11.65% | 8.30% | -5.78% | 5.34% | 2.91% | 1.84% | 6.02% | 5.92% | -0.49% | 4.08% | 8.08% | -1.99% |
| 2022 | 0.64% | 0.11% | 11.00% | 3.50% | -0.55% | -2.83% | 1.13% | -5.08% | -3.64% | 6.05% | 15.35% | 3.92% |
| 2021 | 9.81% | 11.75% | 5.81% | 2.38% | 0.40% | -3.59% | -3.32% | 6.27% | -8.44% | -1.97% | 13.11% | 9.75% |
| 2020 | -2.36% | -25.39% | -12.52% | 1.34% | 9.66% | 0.06% | -4.19% | -2.48% | -10.68% | 27.17% | -2.59% | |
| Avg | 4.02% | 4.57% | -1.80% | 0.55% | 0.91% | 2.93% | 1.26% | -0.63% | -1.28% | -1.28% | 14.03% | 3.08% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +14.0% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.8% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +15.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +6.8% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -28.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
FFH.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
FFH.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
FFH.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
FFH.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes