Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Mar is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Mar averages +11.4% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -10.8% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +17.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +17.5% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -22.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.98% | 31.42% | -21.45% | -5.53% | -0.83% | -26.49% | -9.12% | 42.79% | -11.73% | -10.57% | ||
| 2025 | 21.13% | 5.70% | 6.69% | -6.27% | -1.73% | -13.72% | 7.38% | 42.30% | 29.81% | -1.15% | 26.93% | -1.38% |
| 2024 | -7.76% | -7.07% | 48.01% | -8.81% | -0.67% | -3.51% | 8.54% | -0.77% | 7.28% | -6.67% | 3.38% | -9.05% |
| 2023 | 37.47% | -18.72% | 40.20% | -3.03% | -5.35% | -4.71% | 14.00% | -1.59% | -16.15% | 6.30% | 22.41% | -13.32% |
| 2022 | -14.84% | 23.32% | 14.79% | -11.24% | -18.78% | -22.85% | -0.35% | -19.41% | 8.68% | -10.38% | 5.57% | -6.54% |
| 2021 | -7.21% | -13.75% | -4.93% | -0.80% | 14.39% | -24.27% | 0.81% | 4.61% | -7.93% | 9.81% | -1.42% | -5.41% |
| 2020 | -12.74% | -3.39% | 23.72% | 8.68% | 20.09% | 5.20% | 6.76% | -8.80% | -8.49% | -9.84% | 2.65% | |
| Avg | 4.96% | 1.17% | 11.42% | -1.71% | -0.61% | -10.78% | 3.78% | 10.67% | 0.17% | -1.76% | 7.84% | -5.51% |
EQX.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
EQX.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
EQX.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
EQX.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes