Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.01% | -0.98% | -9.87% | 6.08% | -6.76% | -6.24% | -3.54% | -0.11% | 44.82% | -26.33% | ||
| 2025 | -1.33% | 28.09% | -17.54% | 16.81% | -2.73% | 46.82% | -4.85% | -0.54% | 10.51% | -2.44% | 9.13% | 18.21% |
| 2024 | 8.94% | 14.02% | -36.28% | -13.18% | -1.08% | -4.11% | 14.00% | -14.04% | 3.50% | -7.04% | 44.55% | -5.45% |
| 2023 | 10.14% | 5.47% | -0.24% | 41.84% | 13.00% | 27.58% | -11.79% | 4.85% | -13.75% | -26.81% | 6.73% | -0.37% |
| 2022 | -15.10% | -8.65% | 15.26% | -32.42% | -5.41% | -23.57% | -1.87% | 40.95% | 55.41% | 73.04% | -3.52% | -4.95% |
| 2021 | -0.38% | -19.73% | -3.58% | -10.89% | -16.67% | -10.00% | -19.63% | -5.53% | 19.51% | |||
| Avg | 2.33% | 7.59% | -9.73% | 3.13% | -3.79% | 6.15% | -3.16% | 2.41% | 15.08% | 3.42% | 10.27% | 5.39% |
Sep is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Sep averages +15.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -9.7% with only a 20% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +19.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.2% historically, with January alone posting a 60% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -11.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
EPRX.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
EPRX.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
EPRX.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
EPRX.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes