Seasonality
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Seasonality
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DTOL.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Jun is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jun averages +15.4% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Apr shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Apr averages -10.5% with only a 20% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +14.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -6.9% historically, with January alone posting a 40% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -17.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -19.54% | -9.48% | -14.53% | 10.94% | 0.11% | 9.42% | -9.00% | 13.12% | -4.94% | 10.70% | ||
| 2025 | -2.37% | 3.86% | -18.26% | -20.35% | 7.19% | 1.38% | 14.88% | 0.56% | 14.19% | -5.23% | -2.82% | -20.06% |
| 2024 | -6.63% | 5.30% | 5.22% | -19.68% | -3.37% | 31.28% | 12.58% | 2.28% | -3.85% | 11.60% | 15.84% | 19.99% |
| 2023 | 36.42% | -9.95% | 0.50% | -4.50% | -12.70% | 33.73% | -7.40% | -0.12% | -15.15% | -4.43% | 22.57% | 30.61% |
| 2022 | 6.91% | -11.84% | 0.00% | -18.75% | -31.53% | 0.97% | -3.02% | -7.22% | -6.87% | -10.82% | 5.70% | 12.70% |
| 2021 | -13.30% | |||||||||||
| Avg | 2.96% | -4.42% | -5.41% | -10.47% | -8.06% | 15.36% | 1.61% | 1.72% | -3.32% | -2.22% | 10.32% | 5.99% |
DTOL.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
DTOL.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
DTOL.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes