Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +3.3% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -2.3% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +4.0% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +6.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.79% | 5.88% | -3.37% | 6.41% | 1.30% | 3.12% | 3.21% | -7.07% | -1.15% | 3.60% | ||
| 2025 | 0.55% | 2.78% | -0.15% | 2.88% | 7.66% | 0.31% | -2.40% | 4.99% | 1.18% | 1.05% | 0.24% | 0.49% |
| 2024 | -0.45% | -4.04% | 3.58% | -5.36% | 1.54% | -2.23% | 9.84% | 7.68% | 3.48% | -3.67% | 1.56% | -6.64% |
| 2023 | 5.98% | 1.96% | -3.57% | 0.83% | -6.21% | 0.98% | 1.42% | -3.91% | -5.46% | -7.05% | 8.26% | 8.12% |
| 2022 | -1.72% | 0.36% | 4.78% | 0.79% | -0.90% | -5.01% | 3.04% | -4.64% | -6.54% | 3.74% | 0.98% | 0.53% |
| 2021 | -0.34% | -0.14% | 6.19% | 1.63% | -0.13% | -0.06% | 4.70% | 2.69% | -2.13% | 4.64% | -6.27% | 4.95% |
| 2020 | -3.83% | -23.84% | 11.24% | 2.21% | 3.62% | 3.29% | 1.98% | -0.94% | -0.81% | 8.60% | 5.55% | |
| Avg | 0.80% | 0.42% | -2.34% | 2.63% | 0.78% | 0.10% | 3.30% | 0.25% | -1.65% | -0.35% | 2.23% | 2.17% |
CRT-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CRT-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
CRT-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CRT-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years