Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
CJT.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.75% | 2.65% | -15.41% | -1.62% | 9.17% | -1.36% | -0.27% | 0.04% | 5.51% | -6.35% | ||
| 2025 | 10.39% | -17.70% | -15.33% | 3.22% | 9.54% | 1.87% | 4.32% | 1.93% | -8.44% | -11.15% | -0.67% | 3.83% |
| 2024 | 0.89% | -7.90% | 1.36% | 9.92% | -9.72% | 26.38% | -6.84% | 2.56% | 3.55% | -1.49% | -11.16% | -10.47% |
| 2023 | 6.04% | -1.86% | -8.84% | -7.44% | 0.57% | -5.84% | 0.74% | -0.87% | -6.03% | -12.26% | 24.53% | 21.47% |
| 2022 | 8.15% | 1.70% | 3.92% | -21.04% | -0.84% | -4.01% | 4.14% | -6.89% | -19.05% | 19.00% | -1.08% | -11.22% |
| 2021 | -5.04% | -6.34% | -14.96% | 11.56% | -0.92% | 2.78% | 5.53% | 7.75% | -3.14% | -2.65% | -15.06% | -0.32% |
| 2020 | -13.16% | -0.92% | 39.01% | -6.05% | 21.33% | 3.71% | 7.27% | 7.27% | 14.74% | 1.53% | -3.20% | |
| Avg | 5.20% | -6.09% | -7.17% | 4.80% | 0.25% | 5.88% | 1.62% | 1.68% | -2.91% | 1.03% | -0.32% | 0.01% |
Jun is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jun averages +5.9% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -7.2% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +10.9% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -8.1% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +5.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
CJT.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CJT.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CJT.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes