Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +3.9% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -11.2% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +4.4% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -8.3% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -46.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.08% | 6.69% | -25.34% | -5.45% | -9.09% | -11.93% | 7.91% | -16.92% | -7.09% | 2.41% | ||
| 2025 | 9.95% | 1.62% | -14.52% | -4.30% | 3.52% | 4.43% | -10.22% | 17.41% | 4.16% | -4.55% | 4.54% | -6.58% |
| 2024 | 3.77% | 10.22% | -10.03% | -10.12% | -11.37% | 12.69% | -9.92% | -2.99% | -8.66% | 5.73% | -0.30% | 0.40% |
| 2023 | -2.72% | 6.09% | 0.14% | 4.59% | 8.88% | 2.80% | -4.15% | 0.59% | -0.83% | -2.11% | 9.44% | 7.69% |
| 2022 | -3.72% | -13.91% | 0.15% | -3.97% | -10.16% | -2.83% | 16.11% | 12.42% | -3.82% | 11.45% | 12.71% | -4.21% |
| 2021 | 7.98% | -11.18% | 1.18% | 7.21% | -9.27% | 8.98% | 8.33% | 0.79% | -4.55% | 2.23% | -14.07% | -3.22% |
| 2020 | 0.97% | -30.17% | 33.69% | 7.62% | -4.06% | -3.21% | 6.20% | -0.92% | -7.08% | 10.85% | 3.71% | |
| Avg | 2.89% | 0.07% | -11.23% | 3.09% | -2.84% | 1.44% | 0.69% | 2.50% | -3.10% | 0.94% | 3.86% | -0.37% |
BYD.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
BYD.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
BYD.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
BYD.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes