Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +1.8% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.0% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +1.8% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.6% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +2.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
ZAG.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.65% | 1.51% | -2.08% | 0.13% | 1.52% | 0.43% | -1.31% | -0.37% | -1.42% | 1.20% | ||
| 2025 | 0.93% | 1.00% | -0.21% | -0.57% | -0.07% | 0.15% | -1.15% | 0.73% | 1.75% | 0.72% | 0.36% | -1.36% |
| 2024 | -1.37% | -0.29% | 0.52% | -2.07% | 1.67% | 1.27% | 2.14% | 0.65% | 1.66% | -0.85% | 1.59% | -0.42% |
| 2023 | 2.82% | -2.03% | 2.30% | 0.94% | -1.73% | 0.08% | -1.11% | -0.30% | -3.01% | 0.39% | 4.35% | 3.51% |
| 2022 | -3.61% | -0.66% | -3.06% | -3.45% | -0.00% | -2.15% | 3.90% | -2.84% | -0.66% | -0.74% | 2.69% | -1.39% |
| 2021 | -1.14% | -2.67% | -1.38% | 0.06% | 0.64% | 0.95% | 1.13% | -0.25% | -1.38% | -1.09% | 0.65% | 1.94% |
| 2020 | 0.49% | -2.88% | 4.69% | 0.49% | 1.70% | 1.37% | -1.30% | 0.30% | -0.84% | 1.09% | 0.42% | |
| Avg | -0.29% | -0.38% | -0.97% | -0.04% | 0.36% | 0.35% | 0.71% | -0.53% | -0.40% | -0.40% | 1.79% | 0.45% |
ZAG.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ZAG.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ZAG.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes