VSPVanguard S&P 500 Index ETF (CAD-hedged)TorontoETF
C$118.96−C$0.67Down0.56%Oct 26, 2026 close
Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.0% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -2.6% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +7.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +0.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.26% | -0.99% | -5.06% | 9.89% | 5.21% | -1.27% | -0.11% | 2.55% | -0.59% | -0.45% | ||
| 2025 | 2.53% | -1.53% | -5.78% | -0.83% | 6.02% | 5.04% | 2.03% | 1.82% | 3.52% | 2.34% | -0.16% | 0.02% |
| 2024 | 1.67% | 5.24% | 3.09% | -4.08% | 4.92% | 3.39% | 1.18% | 2.13% | 1.99% | -0.79% | 6.05% | -2.81% |
| 2023 | 5.93% | -2.41% | 3.42% | 1.55% | 0.52% | 6.22% | 3.13% | -1.63% | -4.91% | -2.23% | 8.89% | 4.28% |
| 2022 | -5.28% | -3.04% | 3.94% | -9.26% | 0.35% | -8.65% | 9.35% | -4.17% | -9.73% | 8.22% | 5.29% | -5.63% |
| 2021 | -1.17% | 2.99% | 4.17% | 5.11% | 0.61% | 2.55% | 2.29% | 3.12% | -4.74% | 6.82% | -0.60% | 4.25% |
| 2020 | -8.28% | -13.00% | 11.92% | 4.81% | 2.01% | 5.28% | 7.04% | -3.85% | -2.77% | 10.56% | 3.72% | |
| Avg | 0.82% | -1.15% | -1.32% | 2.04% | 3.21% | 1.33% | 3.31% | 1.55% | -2.62% | 1.93% | 5.01% | 0.64% |
VSP.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VSP.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VSP.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VSP.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes