Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +14.1% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -5.6% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +25.2% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +9.6% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 182 of the year, the current YTD return is +130.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
WDC - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WDC - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WDC Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45.25% | 11.78% | -3.25% | 60.64% | 22.25% | 20.27% | -14.70% | -17.31% | 5.17% | |||
| 2025 | 9.22% | -0.61% | -17.37% | 8.48% | 17.53% | 24.36% | 22.97% | 2.10% | 49.61% | 25.11% | 8.73% | 5.56% |
| 2024 | 9.32% | 3.88% | 14.75% | 3.80% | 6.30% | 0.64% | -11.51% | -2.18% | 4.12% | -4.36% | 11.76% | -18.30% |
| 2023 | 39.30% | -12.45% | -2.10% | -8.57% | 12.46% | -2.07% | 12.21% | 5.73% | 1.40% | -12.01% | 20.32% | 8.40% |
| 2022 | -20.66% | -1.55% | -2.53% | 6.89% | 14.36% | -26.13% | 9.52% | -13.93% | -22.98% | 5.59% | 6.92% | -14.15% |
| 2021 | 1.88% | 21.44% | -2.60% | 5.81% | 6.51% | -5.40% | -8.77% | -2.66% | -10.70% | -7.35% | 10.61% | 12.74% |
| 2020 | -15.18% | -25.09% | 12.17% | -3.71% | -0.50% | -2.38% | -10.86% | -4.87% | 3.23% | 18.95% | 23.42% | |
| Avg | 14.05% | 1.05% | -5.46% | 12.74% | 10.81% | 1.60% | 1.05% | -5.59% | 2.77% | 1.70% | 12.88% | 2.94% |
WDC Distribution of Daily % Changes