Seasonality
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SWKS - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +3.3% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -6.6% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +7.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -4.5% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +17.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -12.06% | 8.14% | -10.12% | 31.04% | 11.91% | -12.91% | -8.14% | 11.79% | ||||
| 2025 | 0.09% | -24.11% | -3.05% | -0.54% | 8.48% | 7.95% | -8.02% | 10.36% | 2.72% | 0.96% | -14.18% | -3.85% |
| 2024 | -7.08% | 1.09% | 3.24% | -1.60% | -12.43% | 15.02% | 6.61% | -2.92% | -9.87% | -11.33% | 0.01% | 2.05% |
| 2023 | 20.34% | 2.30% | 5.75% | -10.24% | -1.65% | 6.94% | 3.32% | -4.31% | -9.33% | -12.02% | 12.56% | 15.98% |
| 2022 | -5.56% | -5.31% | -3.54% | -14.99% | -3.38% | -14.91% | 17.53% | -8.95% | -13.48% | 0.87% | 11.91% | -4.70% |
| 2021 | 10.71% | 5.34% | 3.18% | -1.17% | -5.96% | 12.79% | -3.78% | -0.26% | -10.18% | 1.43% | -8.94% | 2.29% |
| 2020 | -11.12% | -10.78% | 16.22% | 14.56% | 7.86% | 13.86% | -0.16% | 0.45% | -2.89% | 0.27% | 8.29% | |
| Avg | 1.07% | -3.38% | -2.19% | 2.67% | 1.65% | 3.25% | 3.05% | -1.04% | -6.62% | -3.83% | 0.27% | 3.35% |
SWKS - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SWKS Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SWKS Distribution of Daily % Changes