Seasonality
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SOLV - Average returns for the respective month in the last 3 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.86% | -3.60% | -11.99% | 3.15% | 11.27% | 2.94% | 10.75% | 3.69% | ||||
| 2025 | 12.11% | 7.68% | -4.65% | -13.05% | 10.54% | 3.76% | -5.91% | 2.42% | -0.12% | -5.42% | 23.49% | -7.06% |
| 2024 | -6.53% | -8.72% | -10.89% | 11.35% | 8.88% | 8.75% | 4.10% | -1.47% | -7.62% | |||
| Avg | 4.62% | 2.04% | -8.32% | -5.47% | 4.36% | -1.40% | 5.39% | 5.65% | 4.31% | -0.66% | 11.01% | -7.34% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 2Y.
Nov averages +11.0% with a 50% win rate across 2 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -8.3% with only a 0% win rate across 2 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +15.4% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.7% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 2Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +20.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
SOLV - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
2 years of data
SOLV Distribution of Daily Returns from 2024 to 2026
SOLV Distribution of Daily % Changes