Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.98% | -10.99% | -4.23% | 21.72% | -1.45% | -6.21% | -12.85% | 8.42% | ||||
| 2025 | 8.27% | -12.98% | -6.22% | 7.03% | 1.08% | 10.50% | 23.56% | -4.73% | -18.25% | -8.02% | -7.89% | 12.37% |
| 2024 | 3.58% | 7.57% | -0.39% | -7.16% | 5.69% | 6.11% | -6.17% | -6.94% | -2.54% | 1.43% | 8.74% | -13.09% |
| 2023 | 10.79% | 2.83% | 6.18% | -3.87% | 22.52% | -4.30% | 3.76% | 1.57% | 0.02% | 2.28% | 15.72% | -5.21% |
| 2022 | -15.74% | 0.61% | 6.68% | -13.95% | 11.30% | -4.86% | 21.01% | -5.84% | -11.71% | -4.24% | 16.06% | -5.96% |
| 2021 | -1.46% | -4.01% | 1.05% | -0.29% | 2.95% | 8.43% | 4.42% | 15.37% | -9.88% | 11.28% | 2.35% | 8.06% |
| 2020 | -6.49% | -6.63% | 22.00% | 15.14% | 7.79% | 2.16% | 11.08% | -3.31% | -0.06% | 6.38% | 13.95% | |
| Avg | 0.74% | -3.35% | -0.51% | 3.64% | 8.18% | 2.49% | 5.13% | 1.75% | -7.61% | 0.44% | 6.89% | 1.69% |
SNPS - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SNPS - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +8.2% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -7.6% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +14.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -3.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -20.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
SNPS Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SNPS Distribution of Daily % Changes