Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +24.1% with a 60% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -9.0% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +43.2% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -11.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 182 of the year, the current YTD return is -10.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
RKLB - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
RKLB - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
RKLB Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14.78% | -13.70% | -7.06% | 28.48% | 73.89% | -29.15% | -36.10% | -1.59% | 10.00% | |||
| 2025 | 14.06% | -29.47% | -12.74% | 21.87% | 22.95% | 33.52% | 28.38% | 5.84% | -1.42% | 31.45% | -33.09% | 65.54% |
| 2024 | -12.30% | -5.46% | -10.36% | -8.52% | 16.22% | 9.84% | 9.17% | 19.66% | 55.18% | 9.97% | 154.95% | -6.63% |
| 2023 | 31.83% | -9.46% | -10.22% | -2.97% | 16.84% | 31.00% | 22.83% | -14.38% | -30.59% | -3.42% | 3.55% | 26.26% |
| 2022 | -26.38% | 5.53% | -15.62% | -8.32% | -35.50% | -20.38% | 23.22% | 17.77% | -26.00% | 25.06% | -17.68% | -10.02% |
| 2021 | 2.67% | -1.25% | 15.51% | -11.66% | -4.59% | 9.12% | -6.61% | -1.38% | 60.82% | -12.90% | 12.88% | -22.57% |
| 2020 | 1.61% | |||||||||||
| Avg | 4.11% | -8.97% | -6.75% | 3.15% | 14.97% | 5.66% | 6.81% | 4.32% | 11.60% | 10.03% | 24.12% | 9.03% |
RKLB Distribution of Daily % Changes