Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +12.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -5.6% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +15.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -5.2% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -7.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -11.38% | -6.09% | -8.96% | 39.45% | 39.78% | -26.11% | -20.12% | 12.32% | ||||
| 2025 | 12.57% | -9.11% | -1.74% | -3.35% | -2.20% | 10.34% | -7.85% | 9.52% | 4.09% | 8.74% | -7.08% | 2.28% |
| 2024 | 2.68% | 6.79% | 7.29% | -2.04% | 23.54% | -2.39% | -9.15% | -3.12% | -2.49% | -4.28% | -2.60% | -2.59% |
| 2023 | 21.17% | -7.27% | 3.91% | -8.45% | -2.23% | 4.96% | 11.03% | -12.73% | -3.03% | -1.86% | 19.16% | 12.07% |
| 2022 | -3.89% | -2.15% | -10.78% | -8.59% | 2.53% | -10.34% | 13.56% | -8.31% | -14.58% | 4.14% | 8.19% | -13.08% |
| 2021 | 2.59% | -12.86% | -2.18% | 4.68% | -3.07% | 6.78% | 4.81% | -2.08% | -11.66% | 3.15% | 35.72% | 1.66% |
| 2020 | -8.22% | -12.91% | 16.29% | 2.81% | 13.64% | 15.79% | 12.77% | -0.66% | 4.83% | 19.30% | 3.96% | |
| Avg | 3.96% | -5.56% | -3.62% | 5.43% | 8.74% | -0.44% | 1.15% | -0.66% | -4.72% | 2.45% | 12.11% | 0.72% |
QCOM - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
QCOM - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
QCOM Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
QCOM Distribution of Daily % Changes