Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.9% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -7.1% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +9.4% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -11.8% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 182 of the year, the current YTD return is -29.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
NKE - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
NKE - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
NKE Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.98% | 0.60% | -14.49% | -16.02% | 4.22% | -10.41% | 1.61% | -6.35% | -6.73% | |||
| 2025 | 1.63% | 3.29% | -19.68% | -11.15% | 7.43% | 18.03% | 5.14% | 3.59% | -9.41% | -7.37% | 0.06% | -0.79% |
| 2024 | -6.48% | 2.36% | -9.25% | -1.83% | 3.02% | -20.39% | -0.68% | 11.30% | 6.57% | -12.75% | 2.13% | -3.45% |
| 2023 | 8.82% | -6.71% | 3.54% | 3.33% | -16.93% | 5.20% | 0.02% | -7.86% | -5.67% | 7.48% | 7.30% | -1.21% |
| 2022 | -11.16% | -7.78% | -1.23% | -7.33% | -4.69% | -13.80% | 12.45% | -7.37% | -21.69% | 11.50% | 18.35% | 7.00% |
| 2021 | -5.57% | 1.10% | -1.40% | -0.20% | 3.10% | 13.21% | 8.43% | -1.49% | -11.84% | 15.19% | 1.17% | -1.34% |
| 2020 | -6.93% | -7.43% | 5.37% | 13.36% | -0.54% | -0.45% | 14.88% | 12.20% | -4.35% | 12.18% | 5.24% | |
| Avg | -2.63% | -2.01% | -7.13% | -3.98% | 1.36% | -1.24% | 3.79% | 0.96% | -4.97% | 1.62% | 6.86% | 0.91% |
NKE Distribution of Daily % Changes