Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +15.8% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -4.5% with only a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +32.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.0% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +146.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.06% | 3.51% | 21.25% | 66.82% | 24.13% | 45.31% | -37.02% | 18.37% | ||||
| 2025 | 2.23% | -18.64% | -32.94% | -5.09% | 3.12% | 28.59% | 3.92% | -21.77% | 33.72% | 11.58% | -4.63% | -4.94% |
| 2024 | 12.37% | 5.85% | -1.09% | -6.93% | 4.40% | 1.58% | -4.10% | 13.82% | -5.40% | 11.17% | 15.70% | 19.16% |
| 2023 | 16.69% | 4.63% | -4.10% | -8.69% | 48.15% | 2.21% | 9.06% | -10.56% | -7.07% | -12.67% | 18.02% | 8.22% |
| 2022 | -18.33% | -4.30% | 4.95% | -18.93% | 1.84% | -26.41% | 28.09% | -15.91% | -8.35% | -7.41% | 17.24% | -20.38% |
| 2021 | 8.25% | -6.18% | 1.45% | -7.59% | 6.83% | 20.77% | 3.85% | 1.12% | -1.44% | 13.69% | 3.90% | 22.93% |
| 2020 | -11.40% | 6.24% | 18.49% | 21.99% | 7.48% | 4.19% | 6.33% | 2.37% | -5.38% | 23.41% | 2.83% | |
| Avg | 2.36% | -3.79% | -0.61% | 5.44% | 15.78% | 11.36% | 1.14% | -4.49% | 2.30% | 1.83% | 12.27% | 4.64% |
MRVL - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
MRVL - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
MRVL Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
MRVL Distribution of Daily % Changes