Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +15.0% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -4.7% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +23.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +9.5% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 182 of the year, the current YTD return is +42.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
LRCX - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
LRCX - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
LRCX Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36.38% | 0.18% | -8.54% | 20.69% | 23.39% | 36.29% | -32.38% | 2.89% | 2.03% | |||
| 2025 | 12.21% | -5.32% | -4.98% | -1.42% | 12.72% | 20.79% | -2.57% | 5.60% | 33.96% | 17.60% | -0.93% | 9.91% |
| 2024 | 5.35% | 13.70% | 3.77% | -7.94% | 4.25% | 14.41% | -13.49% | -10.88% | -0.30% | -8.89% | -0.63% | -1.93% |
| 2023 | 18.99% | -2.82% | 9.47% | -1.14% | 17.67% | 4.53% | 11.76% | -2.24% | -10.50% | -6.15% | 21.71% | 9.70% |
| 2022 | -17.97% | -4.84% | -3.92% | -13.36% | 11.65% | -17.78% | 17.45% | -12.51% | -16.10% | 10.60% | 16.70% | -10.69% |
| 2021 | 2.47% | 17.20% | 5.20% | 4.24% | 4.74% | 0.33% | -2.04% | -5.11% | -5.67% | -0.98% | 20.63% | 6.01% |
| 2020 | -1.60% | -17.72% | 6.37% | 7.20% | 18.66% | 16.60% | -10.82% | -0.98% | 3.11% | 32.33% | 4.60% | |
| Avg | 9.57% | 2.36% | -2.39% | 1.06% | 11.66% | 11.03% | -0.67% | -4.72% | 0.07% | 2.55% | 14.97% | 2.93% |
LRCX Distribution of Daily % Changes